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Ratings News - 14th October 2014

NOTE: Due to an issue with the main site we have had to post the Ratings here. Once the site is fixed we'll be posting this back on the main site.

Today's Early Overnight Ratings

Top 25 Markets - 18-49
If we get access to any early Top 25 Markets numbers we will post them here.

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.

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Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Monday Ratings
Big 3 Neck-and-Neck; Respectable Sampling for “Jane the Virgin” on The CW

Monday 10/13/14

Note: New York is excluded from the following averages.

NBC 7.9/12
ABC 7.7/12
CBS 7.6/12
Fox 4.0/ 6
CW 1.0/ 2

-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Monday 10/14/13:
CBS: +62, CW: +11, NBC: – 6, ABC: – 8, Fox: -18

Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. As always, these overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.

“The Big Bang Theory” (CBS), “The Voice” (NBC), “Dancing With the Stars” (ABC), “Gotham” (Fox), “Scorpion” (CBS), “The Blacklist” (NBC)

-Honorable Mention:
“NCIS: Los Angeles” (CBS), “Castle” (ABC)

-Respectable Sampling:
“Jane the Virgin” (CW)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
Nothing…a rare example of an evening where a wide array of different programming options has resonated.


Ratings Breakdown:
Keeping in mind that ratings in the New York market were not available at press time, it was another three-way race for overnight dominance with only three-tenths of a household rating point (or four percent) separating first-place NBC with third-place CBS. Smack in the middle was ABC, with CBS the most improved. But the home of “The Voice,” NBC, is the network to beat in adults 18-49 (and other key young adult categories), while ABC is expected to finish No. 4 in the demo. “Jane the Virgin” on The CW, meanwhile, netted some positive overnight observations despite opening at just a 1.1 rating/2 share from 9-10 p.m.

“Jane the Virgin,” which is an entirely new format for The CW, beat year-ago occupant “Beauty and the Beast” (0.7/ 1) by a considerable 57 percent in the overnights. It outdelivered “A Very Special Supernatural Special” one week earlier (0.8/ 1 on Oct. 6) by 37 percent. And it increased from the 8:30 p.m. portion of lead-in “The Originals” (0.9/ 1) by 22 percent. While this certainly does not compare to the opening 3.4/ 5 for “The Flash” last Wednesday, there was some sampling for worthy “Jane the Virgin” going in. And The CW knows patience could be a virtue.

Overall, relocated “The Originals” scored a 1.0/ 2 in the overnights from 8-9 p.m., which was equal to one week earlier and nine percent below year-ago occupant “Hart of Dixie” (1.1/ 2 on 10/14/13). And that translated into 1.36 million viewers and a 0.7 rating/2 share among adults 18-49, based on the Live + same Day data.

Results on Monday for CBS could be very different once “The Big Bang Theory” heads back to Thursday on Oct. 30 (and returning “2 Broke Girls” steps in as the 8 p.m. anchor). But, as it stands, “Big Bang” topped the night – once again – with a 10.0/16 in the household overnights at 8 p.m. And it led into an encore telecast, featuring the legendary Bob Newhart, at a 7.1/11 at 8:30 p.m. Note to the Emmy voters: Did you catch underrated Melissa Rauch’s drunken stupor in Las Vegas last night?

With “The Big Bang Theory” leading off the night, episode four of new Eye net drama “Scorpion” was right on track with a solid third-place 7.9/12 at 9 p.m., which was on par from one week earlier and 50 percent above the year-ago combination of a repeat of “Big Bang” (5.6/ 8 on 10/14/13) and an original installment of then freshman “Mom” (4.9/ 7). Expect in the vicinity of 12-million viewers and a mid 2-rating among adults 18-49 for “Scorpion,” which is certain to get a full season renewal at any moment.

Relocated “NCIS: Los Angeles,” meanwhile, is no longer the powerhouse it was when it aired out of parent “NCIS” on Tuesday. But a second-place 6.3/10 in the overnights in the Monday 10 p.m. hour was a hefty 80 percent above the 3.5/ 6 for failed year-ago drama “Hostages.” And “NCIS: Los Angeles” built by 11 percent from the 5.7/ 9 in the overnights one week earlier. Note to CBS: Smart move moving “NCIS” spin-off No. 1 to Monday.

Over at NBC, “The Voice” scored a typical 8.6/13 in the overnights from 8-10 p.m., peaking at a 9.0/13 at 9:30 p.m. And it led into a typical 6.5/11 (#1) for “The Blacklist” at 10 p.m., which is a lock for dominance in the hour in all the key demos. But once unproven new drama “State of Affairs” steps in on Nov. 17, competing “Castle” on ABC and aforementioned “The Blacklist” on NBC could benefit.

In one of those rare examples where a 10-11 p.m. time period is 3 for 3 with hit programming, “Castle” was on the overnight map with a 5.7/ 9 (#3), which dipped by 10 percent from the 6.3/10 one week earlier. Older-skewing lead-in Dancing With the Stars,” which is hovering around the 13-million total viewer mark this season, tied “The Voice” at an 8.6/13 from 8-10 p.m. But “The Voice,” of course, will hold a considerable lead in all the young adult demos.

On Fox, just full season renewed “Gotham,” which remains a smash in the time shifting universe, scored a 4.7/ 7 in the overnights at 8 p.m. Comparably, that was one-tenth of a rating point (or two percent) above the 4.6/ 7 one week earlier. And lead-out “Sleepy Hollow” followed with a now typical 3.2/ 5 (#4), which was 35 percent below the 4.9/ 7 on the year-ago evening.

Source: Nielsen Media Research data

About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
Ratings FAQ.

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Additional Ratings Resources

If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.

Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.
Ratings Database
Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.
Full Season Tables
The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos
Ratings Scorecard
See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.

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